03 May

Future of college football spring games? Ole Miss’ blueprint is fun and mostly football-free

OXFORD, Miss. — Joey Chestnut scarfed down hot dogs. Monte Kiffin got pushed in a golf cart race. Sororities competed in a tug-of-war championship.

On a beautiful, 80-degree day inside Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, this looked like the future of spring games: Show very little actual football, focus on the fun and try to escape without any injuries. There would be no opportunity to over-analyze how well the Ole Miss backup quarterback looked, as many fanbases will surely do following other spring games.

Instead, fans saw a slam dunk contest featuring football players, a disgusting amount of hot dogs consumed in six minutes, and a little seven-on-seven flag football. Chestnut, who showed up after Rebels coach Lane Kiffin slid in his direct messages with an invite, ate 20 hot dogs in 90 seconds and then broke down his performance in easily the most memorable of any post-spring game press conference in the country. Evidently, a bun got stuck in his throat, which momentarily slowed him down.

“There’s a lot of technique to hot dog eating,” Kiffin explained.

It had the look and feel of a circus, perfectly fitting with Kiffin, college football’s greatest showman, at the helm. Long an offensive X’s and O’s innovator and now the sport’s Portal King, Kiffin was using his unique brain to twist a long-staid format desperately needing an update.

“Really, the value of spring games, in my opinion, is overrated because you don’t show many plays on offense or defense,” Kiffin said. “Most people don’t unless they are trying to win the fans over or TV over with the game. You really don’t get a whole lot out of it.”

Ole Miss didn’t release an official attendance, but the feeling was that it easily exceeded anything experienced during recent spring games. No, it wasn’t close to Ohio State’s 80,012 or Alabama’s 72,358, but it was a lively crowd that embraced the absurdity of it all. It didn’t hurt that Ole Miss allowed students 21-years-and-older to bring in alcohol and sit behind one of the end zones to try to recreate the environment of right field at a baseball game in Swayze Field.

It was nearly impossible to have any tangible takeaways from the Grove Bowl about an Ole Miss team coming off an 11-2 season, which seemed precisely the intent. More Taylor Swift music played than notable football plays occurred.

The first look at behemoth 6-foot-4, 290-pound defensive tackle Walter Nolen, the nation’s No. 3 transfer according to 247Sports rankings, came in a tug-of-war competition. (His team lost.). Former New York Giants head coach Joe Judge, who recently joined the staff, also got roped into a tug-of-war contest. Quarterback Jaxson Dart, an early preseason Heisman Trophy contender, threw passes while wearing a backward hat during 7-on-7 play.

“I thought it was really fun,” Dart said. “You got a lot of guys involved with many different things. Throughout the whole day, the whole team was involved in every activity, which made it super fun and guys just competed. I’m pretty positive you’ll see more of that from other teams.”

The undercurrent beneath Kiffin’s goofy and chaotic spring game format is a smart and intentional strategy to minimize the impact of the transfer portal window opening on Tuesday. College football coaches have long been paranoid about showing too much during spring games, but those fears have spiked in the current name, image and likeness and transfer portal era. Kiffin had zero interest in doing anything that could encourage his players to hit the transfer portal, which runs from April 16-30. That meant no depth chart, no real football action where players — or the people around them — could count repetitions to determine where they stood in the pecking order. It’s not a guarantee to stop guys from leaving, but it at least makes it harder for them to justify leaving or for competing programs to poach players off the Rebels’ roster.

Just last year, Kiffin’s long-time friend, Texas coach Steve Sarkisian, had to deal with the downsides of a spring game. Texas backup quarterback Malik Murphy looked like a star in the Longhorns’ spring game with his performance including a beautiful, 79-yard touchdown pass. What happened afterward was predictable: Multiple SEC schools inquired with people around Murphy about getting him to jump in the transfer portal. Texas was ultimately able to fend off the pursuits with a healthy NIL package, according to 247Sports’ Chris Hummer. Murphy transferred to Duke after the 2023 season.

Kiffin claims he’s not trying to start a trend, but in a copycat business, there’s a good chance he might have. Other coaches might not be as avante-garde as Kiffin in embracing the silliness of a spring game to the extreme seen Saturday in Oxford. More and more coaches will be looking for ways to mitigate transfer risks, however, and moving away from the traditional spring game format feels like a straightforward tweak. For the majority of coaches, the traditional spring game’s risks far outweigh its benefits, even if some old-school fans might be miffed about the changes. Kiffin came up with a smart, alternative blueprint that others would be wise to follow.

For his part, Kiffin hopes his peers don’t follow him down his hot dog contest and flag football spring game path.

“I would like people to keep playing the spring game so we can watch all their players play in spring,” Kiffin said.

03 May

SEC crowds top 10, Colorado star at No. 1 in spring rankings

We are in the thick of it on the college football calendar. Spring football is finished for some teams and will wrap up in the next couple of weeks for others. The transfer portal opens April 16. The NFL Draft, our final goodbye to the college football stars of the last few seasons, looms.

There’s a sense of change in the air (and angst, for a lot of coaches and NIL collectives). It was in that spirit that we decided it was time to do some spring cleaning of the final 2023 rankings of the top 101 players in college football. A majority of those players, including nine of the top 10, are off to the NFL.

It’s time for a new era. Here’s our spring version of the top 100 college football players for the 2024 season. For the preseason lists, I keep things to a tidy top 100. Somebody will earn that 101st spot by midseason.

Top 100 college football players entering 2024 season

  1. Colorado CB Travis Hunter
    Former No. 1 overall recruit Travis Hunter leads my list as the top overall player in the country entering the 2024 season. He is a generational player and, if he took fewer snaps offensively at wide receiver, would be even more effective for Colorado’s defense. Hunter missed a handful of games after taking a cheap shot in the Colorado State game and still notched 1,044 snaps. He had seven games with more than 100 snaps, doing so as a two-way player. That is more than two seasons worth of reps for the typical defender.

A silky-smooth corner, Hunter is excellent in press coverage. In a Cover 2 scheme, he has the ability to undercut routes and make plays on the ball. Hunter has excellent hands and will sacrifice his body to make plays. He has fluid hips that allow him to trail his primary receiver, adjust to a ball thrown in his area and get involved for a PBU. Hunter shows an excellent ability to understand and match offensive patterns, as well as the make-up speed to catch up and make plays on a ball where he is slightly beaten. How will his two-way timeshare look this fall? And could it possibly continue in the NFL?

  1. Tennessee EDGE James Pearce Jr.
    Pearce led the SEC in sacks with 10 for his second season at Tennessee, adding 53 pressures. There are makings of a dominant pass-rusher here and Pearce has the ability to be a top-10 pick. His film is a blast. Pearce routinely abuses offensive tackles with a mixture of speed, power and nice inside moves. There are so many instances where Pearce reverse-pancakes offensive tackles into the quarterback, and a handful of them are for sacks. That is every offensive lineman’s worst nightmare and the ultimate embarrassment for a highlight reel. Stay tuned for a huge season in Knoxville.
  2. Michigan DT Mason Graham
    Graham was a disruptive presence in 2023, especially when it counted against the toughest competition. I fell in love with his game during Michigan’s home stretch and have him ranked as my DT1 in the 2025 NFL Draft. He finished the year with 30 generated pressures and had 7.5 TFLs. Graham excels at penetration and disruption and is at his best when he’s moving and stunting. He has a great feel for recognizing offensive blocking schemes and can slip a block with some wiggle as well. Graham was a key portal retention player for Michigan’s new-ish coaching staff.
  3. Colorado QB Shedeur Sanders
    Sanders is my current pick to go first overall in the 2025 NFL Draft. He’s also, in my opinion, the best quarterback in college football entering the 2024 season. Sanders has an excellent arm to make all the throws necessary and is an extremely accurate passer both in the pocket and on the move. Sanders does a great job keeping his eyes downfield to go through his progressions and make the high percentage completion despite the constant pressure he was under all season. Sanders threw for almost 300 yards a game and only had three interceptions in 430 attempts completing 69% of his passes while suffering 21 drops by his receivers. Sanders is an excellent post-snap processor as well and extends the plays to give his guys an extra second or two to find green grass.
  4. Missouri WR Luther Burden
    Burden’s a dynamic playmaker and a blast to watch because Missouri makes a point of force-feeding him to get multiple touches per game. Burden of course is a playmaker as a traditional wideout and Missouri will travel him all over the field to try to create space and matchups. Burden is a physical receiver and is tough to tackle in the open field. He can also beat you for a contested catch and get to top speed after the catch quickly. There’s some Deebo Samuel here. Burden is tracking to be top-10 pick in 2025.
  5. LSU OT Will Campbell
    The top offensive tackle in the country, Campbell has excellent technique as a pass protector and does a nice job getting to the proper spot in protection with square shoulders. Campbell is generally a two-hand puncher, which can lead to problems if done exclusively, but generally stones his opponents and has excellent feet to recover if he slightly gets beat. He has strong hands and grip strength and if he’s able to get them on defenders, it’s over.
  6. Alabama QB Jalen Milroe
    Milroe resurrected his career and Alabama’s title hopes last season with some incredible performances in his first season as a starter. Milroe only threw three interceptions after a rough showing vs. Texas game, amassing over 2,700 yards passing and 23 touchdown passes with 468 yards rushing and 12 touchdowns on the ground. Milroe is expected to be a weapon in Kalen DeBoer’s wide-open offense and would no doubt love to lead the country in passing like Michael Penix Jr. did under DeBoer.
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  7. Georgia QB Carson Beck
    Beck was deadly-accurate in his first year as a starter, passer hitting over 74% of his passes for over 3,700 yards and 22 touchdowns. Beck sees the field and delivers the ball with anticipation really well on the short and intermediate routes but can improve on his deep ball accuracy. Beck is not known for being a runner but can move the chains when needed in order to move the chains. Don’t be surprised if the year ends with Beck winning the Heisman Trophy and a loaded Georgia again playing for the national championship.
  8. Oklahoma State RB Ollie Gordon II
    Gordon gets my nod as the top returning back after an incredible 2023 season where he almost single-handedly carried the Cowboys to a Big 12 Championship Game appearance. Gordon is a complete back with power, speed, and vision. Gordon had 46 explosive runs last year and averaged 3.8 yards per carry after contact.
  9. Kelvin Banks OT Texas
    Banks has had a solid sophomore year and is still on pace to be one of the better tackles in the country but showed a few cracks with added responsibility and a target on him after an incredible freshman year. Still, Banks allowed only one sack and 14 total pressures in 2023 and has what it takes to be one of the top picks in the 2025 NFL Draft. He’s tracking to be a first-round pick; Texas has not had an offensive lineman selected in that round since 2002.
  10. Michigan CB Will Johnson
    Big-time No. 1 type of cornerback with range and the ability to match up vs. a No. 1 receiver. Johnson was a force last season in the playoffs when it mattered the most and will be a top draft pick after the season. Johnson has excelled in both zone and press coverage and has not only fluid hips but the ability to play the ball in the air as well as anyone in the country.
  11. Ohio State RB Quinshon Judkins
    Judkins was Ole Miss’s most critical piece of an explosive offense and figures to be the bell cow for another loaded offense in Columbus. Sources I’ve talked to say he is turning heads early and often as he is not only a nice blend of speed and power but is also being used in the passing game.
  12. Arizona WR Tetairoa McMillan
    The 6-foot-5, 205-pounder was a nightmare matchup out West as McMillian torched defenders for 93 catches for over 1,400 yards and 10 touchdowns. McMillian excelled in contested catches and had 63 grabs go for a first down or longer and only two drops. McMillian has the ability to win vs. press and the speed to separate and box out with his huge catch radius. He should expect a ton of attention this season as he should be one of the first receivers off the board in the 2025 NFL Draft.
  13. Texas WR Isaiah Bond
    Texas landed one of the best wide receivers in the country after losing big time playmakers Adonai Mitchell and Xavier Worthy. Bond is a playmaker — an excellent route runner with the track speed ability to take the top off a defense. In many ways, he’s a fusion of Mitchell and Worthy. Bond led Alabama and was at his best in the clutch. He’ll be WR1 for Quinn Ewers and they’ll depart for the NFL together in 2025.
  14. Texas QB Quinn Ewers
    Ewers took his game to another level in 2023. There are no excuses, with a loaded offense around him, to not have one of the best seasons in the country in 2024. Ewers has all the traits you want as a quarterback as a pure drop back passer with a cannon for an arm and the ability to make the off-platform throws. I’d like to see him more consistently hit the tight windows. Could be the most important player in college football with all eyes on him as Texas enters the SEC.
  15. LSU EDGE Harold Perkins Jr.
    Perkins is one of the nation’s most dynamic players. LSU misused him most of last season and it cost the defensive staff their jobs. It was a wasted year playing in the box for somebody who should be wreaking havoc on the edge. This is a contract year for somebody who draws Micah Parsons comps.
  16. Penn State EDGE/LB Abdul Carter
    Can I go with back-to-back Micah Parsons comps? Abdul Carter fits the bill, too, down to the No. 11 uniform. Carter had a great start to his career with excellent production in his first two seasons at Happy Valley and is making the switch to the edge this season. Carter is a dynamic, twitched-up force who is likely to have a lot of success making the move. James Franklin has called Carter “freakishly strong, ” so you can expect he will have the ability to rush speed to power. He should have a great season in Tom Allen’s attacking defensive scheme.

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  1. Georgia DB Malaki Starks
    A unique talent in the secondary because of his ability to not only play center field but match up in man coverage, Starks is routinely glued to his opponent and does a nice job of playing the receiver’s hands when they touch the ball to dislodge it. The ball has to be thrown perfectly in order for it to be caught.

As a true center fielder in Georgia’s two-high look, Starks is a menace. He’s my top safety in the 2025 NFL Draft.

  1. Ohio State S Caleb Downs
    Alabama’s loss is Ohio State’s gain. Downs was a rare true freshman starter from the day he stepped on campus for the Crimson Tide and is already considered one of the best players in college football. Downs is not only an excellent all-around player both in coverage and in the box in run support, but plays with a ultra high intelligence. Downs will make an instant impact on a loaded Ohio State defense and figures to make an even bigger jump after a year of starting.
  2. Oregon QB Dillon Gabriel
    The talented delivered in a huge way in 2023, getting the Sooners back to their winning ways before departing to Eugene. Gabriel is an excellent deep-ball thrower that uses his legs when needed to move the chains. Gabriel threw for over 3,600 yards and 30 touchdowns this season and rushed for 373 and 12 touchdowns. Big pickup for the Ducks; they have weapons for Gabriel to throw to and he has a vast amount of experience and game reps to pick apart secondaries.
  3. Iowa LB Jay Higgins
    Higgins is an extremely productive player who has a nose for the ball and seems to be involved on almost every tackle. He led the country last season with 171 tackles in his first season as a true starter, including 18 against Penn State.

A good athlete who seems to always be in the right spot and is a sure tackler, Higgins only missed seven attempts on the season. He is solid in coverage as well. My hunch is the NFL takes notice in 2025.

  1. Oregon WR Evan Stewart
    Evan Stewart is an exceptional athlete with a ridiculous ceiling. He needs a lot more targets than what he received his first two seasons at Texas A&M, which is why he found his way to Eugene this offseason. The stats won’t blow you away, but the tape shows Stewart’s ceiling as a homerun hitter and excellent route runner. Expect a drama-free contract year from Stewart.
  2. Ole Miss WR Tre Harris
    Harris was one of the best receivers in the country in his first year, racking up 54 catches for 985 yards and eight touchdowns. Harris is a bigger body at receiver that is an excellent route runner and has the ability to make the dynamic plays both on the outside and in the slot. Harris plays like a veteran and has the speed to separate on an Ole Miss offense that looks like it will be dynamic and a title contender in 2024.
  3. Clemson LB Barrett Carter
    A versatile three-down ‘backer who likes to play in the opponent’s backfield, Barrett is an explosive and high-ceiling talent who has enormous potential and upside as a former 5-star recruit. A converted high school safety prospect, Carter has the ability to match up vs. tight ends and backs in coverage and did not allow a touchdown last season. He missed too many tackles, 12, last season in the box and can do a better job of finishing in the run game. Cleaning that up is likely a big reason he returned for his senior season. Jeremiah Trotter Jr. is gone, now it’s Carter’s turn to be the star of Clemon’s defense.
  4. Notre Dame CB Benjamin Morrison
    Morrison is one of the best returning corners in the country. He’s great in zone but excels in press coverage. Why? Morrison is not only excellent in matching routes and playing the ball in the air but does a nice job using the sideline as an extra defender. The three touchdowns he gave up last year were all in the lower red zone on scrambles where the play got extended.
  5. Michigan TE Colston Loveland
    Loveland is a true height, weight, speed tight end who shows an excellent awareness to be able to find green grass and read the defensive’s leverage on the short to intermediate route. Loveland tracks the ball well and despite dropping a handful of catchable balls, shows the ability to routinely catch the ball away from his body and high-point contested balls in traffic. Loveland is a fluid runner with the ball in his hands and has adequate speed to make the explosive plays.

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  1. Ole Miss DT Walter Nolen
    Ole Miss got one of the most coveted defensive prospects available at a position of need, beefing up the interior of their defense. A former top recruit, Nolen is a special player when he puts it all together and has shown flashes of dominance, especially against the run. Expect him to be one of the first defensive linemen off the board in the 2025 NFL Draft if he stays healthy.
  2. Oklahoma LB Danny Stutsman
    Stutsman flirted with going to the NFL but will be back and looking to improve even further on a very productive season: 100 tackles, 16 TFLs, three sacks, one interception and one forced fumble. He’s perfect for Brent Venables. Stutsman is an excellent box backer who has the ability to roam sideline to sideline and is solid in coverage, only allowing 21 catches for 242 yards. Oklahoma is glad to have him ahead of a brutal SEC schedule.
  3. Alabama OG Tyler Booker
    Booker is a powerful and explosive run blocker who plays with great leverage and hand placement. When Booker is able to get in his run fits with his hands clamped on defenders, it’s over. Booker is a good pass blocker as well but that’s an area he can definitely improve on.
  4. Miami QB Cameron Ward
    Ward is an intriguing prospect that will have a chance to shine on a bigger platform. And for Miami, it’s another chance to really get right at the quarterback spot after the D’Eriq King and Tyler Van Dyke eras fizzled out. Ward flourished in Wazzu’s spread as a dual-threat throwing for over 3,700 yards and 25 touchdown passes while running for another eight touchdowns. Ward needs to protect the football better but will have the best supporting cast around him he’s had in his career.
  5. Texas A&M EDGE Cashius Howell
    Unless you’re addicted to MACtion, you don’t know about Howell, but the Bowling Green transfer has some ridiculous tape. Howell is explosive and has a nice toolbox of speed and counter moves to go along with a relentless motor. He will see a major uptick in competition but with Nic Scourton and Shemar Turner taking the majority of the attention, expect Howell to become a household name soon enough.
  6. Oregon CB Jabbar Muhammad
    Muhammad capitalized on a big season at Washington and will take over Kyree Jackson’s spot at rival Oregon for his last season. Muhammad only allowed two touchdowns and added two interceptions last season and fills a position of need in Oregon’s title hopes in 2024. Muhammad excels in zone coverage but has the ability to play man and does a nice job locating the ball in the air and swiping it away when his receiver extends. Get your popcorn ready for when the Ducks host Ohio State.
  7. Miami DL Rueben Bain Jr.
    Hurricane Bain lived up to the hype we saw last spring and had a fantastic freshman campaign. Bain had 12.5 TFLs, 7.5 sacks, three forced fumbles and was one of the most productive freshmen in the country. Bain is a powerful rusher that rarely wins on his first move but plays with a relentless effort.
  8. USC WR/KR Zachariah Branch
    Branch is a difference-maker for the Trojans and someone who could take it to the house at any moment. I’m excited to see how he develops in Year 2, but he’ll miss Caleb Williams and he also is hoping for a better bill of health than a year ago. Branch made the most noise as a freshman as a return specialist, earning All-American honors, and taking almost 800 yards of returns and two touchdowns. Branch figures to be a bigger part offensively in 2024; his 31 receptions for 320 yards and two touchdowns don’t feel indicative of his impact.
  9. Florida State EDGE Patrick Payton
    There was a bit of drama, but Payton is staying in Tallahassee, where he will see much more attention on the edge with Jarred Verse off to the NFL. Payton has excellent length and get-off and does a nice job not only getting to the quarterback but recognizing blocks. Payton can bend around the edge and can go speed to power with a nice long-arm as well. FSU is definitely glad to have one of the best edge-rushers on its roster this season.
  10. Arizona QB Noah Fifita
    The 5-11 Fifita burst onto the national scene in a big way in 2023. Thrust into action because of an injury to established starter Jayden de laura, Fifita made the job his. Fiftia throws his receivers open on the short/intermediate game as well as anyone. He throws the ball on the move well and can use his feet to scramble when needed, but he is generally not looking to run. Will that feature come in time?
  11. Oregon DT Jamaree Caldwell
    Caldwell is going to be a huge piece for Oregon this season as not only a physical presence at the point but also as a dynamic rusher from the interior. Caldwell has more twitch than given credit for and plays extremely hard for a big man. Excellent hands that can shock and shed offensive linemen. This is the type of midway monster Dan Lanning coached at Georgia.
  12. Ohio State EDGE Jack Sawyer
    Sawyer had his best season as a pass rusher in 2023, racking up eight sacks and 38 pressures, but is better against the run. Sawyer has great play recognition and excellent motor; you rarely see him take a play off. He’s a real difference-maker in the run game and Ohio State is thrilled the former 5-star stayed true to his word and returned to school, even after a three-sack performance in the Cotton Bowl.
  13. Ohio State WR Emeka Egbuka
    This guy would be WR1 on 99.9% of teams but OSU keeps bringing in the top talent in the country that takes away some of his touches. We figured Egbuka would finally get to be WR1 this fall, but the early returns on No. 1 recruit Jeremiah Smith have been so terrific that perhaps he’ll nab this spot by fall camp. Anyway, back to Egbuka: He’s versatile enough to play anywhere on the field, is an excellent route-runner and causes damage in the open field, despite lacking elite speed.

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  1. Kentucky DT Deone Walker
    The All-SEC defensive tackle is a presence in the middle and has tons of game experience, starting 25 of the last 26 for the Wildcats. Walker is surprisingly quick and athletic in condensed spaces and has a knack for finding the football while he’s being double teamed. His road to 7.5 sacks last season was paved by power first, counters and hand-swipes second. Opponents want nothing to do with him, I promise you that. There are some T’Vondre Sweat vibes here.
  2. Rutgers RB Kyle Monangai
    I’m not sleeping on Rutgers and you shouldn’t, either. Especially when it comes to running backs. Monangai is the next big-time ball-carrier out of Piscataway. He led the Big Ten in rushing last season, averaged over five yards a carry last season and scored eight touchdowns. He’s a receiving threat, too. The 5-9 Monangai is certainly not a big back but runs with power and is quite explosive.
  3. Wisconsin CB Ricardo Hallman
    Hallman was a ballhawk for the Badgers last year, picking off seven balls (and dropping another two). Hallman is excellent at matching routes in zone and undercutting a ball thrown late. He plays almost like a free safety and can read the quarterback’s eyes as well as anyone. Hallman has excellent speed and can take it to the house if he has some green grass ahead of him.
  4. Texas A&M EDGE Nic Scourton
    Scourton was a force at Purdue last year and now he’s off to Aggieland to help new coach Mike Elko recreate the Wrecking Crew. Scourton abuses offensive tackles with one of the best spin moves in the nation and plays with an excellent motor. He is sudden on the edge and stunts well inside. And he can demolish zone-reads. Scourton should flourish with the noisy home field advantage at Kyle Field but needs to elevate his pass-rush moves beyond a spin.
  5. Boise State RB Ashton Jeanty
    Jeanty is a powerhouse back for the Broncos, averaging six-plus yards a carry and rushing for over 1,300 yards and 14 touchdowns last season. Jeanty is also excellent in the screen and quick game as a receiver. Jeanty has great patience in tight spaces and can jump-cut it back the other way for big gainers. He also has the power to break arm tackles and can stiff arm you in space. His size and his ability to hold up in protection is really his only knock at the next level.
  6. Notre Dame DB Xavier Watts
    Watts took home the Nagurski Award as the nation’s best defender, leading the country with seven interceptions. His biggest plays (47 tackles, 11 PBUs) tended to come in the clutch, too. Watts is one of two Notre Dame defensive backs in my top 50 rankings.
  7. Kentucky WR Barion Brown
    Brown an explosive playmaker in multiple phases for the Wildcats. Brown doubles as a returner and has the ability to take it to the house any time he touches the ball, scoring three touchdowns on returns last year. Brown’s only knock is he suffered six drops last year and lost two fumbles. Has the ability to be one of the top receivers in the country but needs the ball more.
  8. Ole Miss EDGE Princely Umanmielen
    Part of Ole Miss’ No. 1 portal haul, Umanmielen is one of the more interesting players to keep an eye on this offseason. His position coach, Randall Joyner, is one of the best developers in the game. Umanmielen is already a talented pass rusher who had seven sacks and generated 50 pressures last season at Florida. Princely has an elite get-off and bend and could be a difference maker in Ole Miss’s loaded defense. His biggest areas of improvement are more consistency in his run defense and a better motor. Expect him to have a huge season and if he puts it all together could be a first-rounder in 2025.
  9. LSU TE Mason Taylor
    Taylor had a disappointing sophomore campaign after lighting it up his freshman season and beating Alabama at the buzzer. My excuse? Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr. gobbled up Taylor’s opportunities. I bet we see a big bounceback campaign. Taylor has soft hands, understands where the sticks are and has a nice field awareness.
  10. Utah QB Cam Rising
    Rising is entering his 10th 7th season of college football. After taking 2023 off to rehab his knee, I hope you didn’t forget about Rising, who will be 25-years-old when the season starts. The Utes might be my preseason pick to win the Big 12 and make the playoff and that’s thanks to Rising’s winning pedigree and playmaking ability. Rising excels on the intermediate routes and places the ball with precision both in the pocket and on the move. He’s a wizard with his feet.

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  1. Missouri QB Brady Cook
    Cook shows elite command of Eli Drinkwitz’s offense, always checking into the right play. From there, he makes the right reads, throws the ball on time, layers it into tight spots — and can get it to any spot on the field. The veteran has come a long way.
  2. Ohio State RB TreVeyon Henderson
    When healthy, he’s a problem for opposing defenses. TreVeyon Henderson is a fluid back with great vision and amazing speed that makes him a home-run hitter as both a runner and a receiver. We never thought he’d be somebody’s RB2 in college football, but the timeshare with portal addition Quinshon Judkins should do wonders for his durability. This will be one of the best thunder-and-lightning combinations we’ve seen in recent memory.
  3. Kansas RB Devin Neal
    Neal is a silky-smooth back who excels in Kansas’s wide variety of ways to create space. Neal is the total package of speed, quickness, and power and has excellent vision. When he sticks his foot in the ground, he’ll make you look silly. A future NFL stud.
  4. TCU WR Savion Williams
    Williams is criminally underrated. It may be because he’s underused. The jumbo receiver has a ton of talent but only caught 41 passes last season. way under the radar receiver that is vastly underused for his ability despite hauling in 41 balls. I think Williams is a first-round talent: He has the speed, great length and is not scared to make contested catches in the middle of the field.
  5. Michigan DT Kenneth Grant
    Grant is a force in the middle of Michigan defense. The big man plays with fanatical effort, holding offensive linemen at the point of attack and disrupting the backfield (five TFL, 3.5 sacks in 2023). Grant and Mason Graham will be a nightmare in the trenches.
  6. Texas Tech RB Tahj Brooks
    Brooks is on track to break the all-time rushing record at Texas Tech this season. He’s been a workhorse for the Red Raiders, rushing for over 1,500 yards and 10 touchdowns last season. Over 1,000 of those yards came after contact. Brooks is a poised runner that lets his blocks set up and then makes an enormous amount of tacklers bounce off his powerful lower half. He’s pretty explosive, too. Brooks will be a force at the next level as a cold-weather back.
  7. Ole Miss QB Jaxson Dart
    Dart’s numbers don’t tell the entire story, even though they are still pretty good, as he is the lifeblood of the Ole Miss offense. Dart threw for over 3,300 yards and 23 touchdowns while adding another 389 yards rushing and eight touchdowns. Dart shows excellent intangibles, leadership and command of Lane Kiffin’s offense.
  8. NC State WR Kevin Concepcion
    The rising sophomore is an all-around talent who can beat you in a bunch of ways, but mainly as a receiver. Concepcion rushed for over 300 yards at 7.8 per carry and caught 71 balls and 10 touchdowns for the season. The true freshman lit up the ACC and did most of his damage on the intermediate part of the field but has the speed to make the explosive catches as well. In his second year of college football, I’m positioning Concepcion as a top-10 receiver in the country.
  9. Ole Miss TE Caden Prieskorn
    A transfer from Memphis, Prieskorn came on in the second half of the season and became a favorite target of Jaxson Dart. Prieskorn has soft hands and is a great red zone threat and a chain-mover in the short and intermediate parts of the field. He’ll be in the conversation for TE1 come the 2025 NFL Draft.
  10. North Carolina EDGE Kaimon Rucker
    Rucker is somewhat undersized but doesn’t let that keep him from the quarterback (8.5 sacks, 15 TFL in 2023). He plays with a demonic edge and is a great team leader. North Carolina has plenty of raw talent on defense, but Rucker is one of the few who has put it all together.
  11. Texas A&M DL Shemar Turner
    Turner has primarily played the edge but has the versatility to kick inside and projects there as a pro. One of a handful of Aggies on this list, Turner has excellent power and can also turn the edge to get home. He plays the run well with violent hands and physicality.
  12. LSU OT Emery Jones
    Jones is a prototype right tackle and along with Will Campbell forms one of the best tackle combos in the country. Jones is thick and explosive. He has excellent feet — he gets to his spot in pass protection — and also has excellent power, which is an asset in the run game. He could have a dominant season.

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  1. Miami WR Xavier Restrepo
    Restrepo is a dependable and reliable slot receiver who owns the intermediate part of the field and is a hands catcher. Restrepo lacks game-breaking speed but seems to always be open and can make plays with the ball in his hands. He’ll be a favorite target of new Miami quarterback Cameron Ward.
  2. Stanford WR Elic Ayomanor
    Height, weight, speed receiver who torched most of the the Pac-12’s best corners last year including my No. 1 player in the country, Travis Hunter. Ayomanor has excellent hands and can beat you in any area of the field and has the ability to take it to the house after the catch. Excellent at the contested catches as well.
  3. North Carolina RB Omarion Hampton
    Hampton led the ACC with almost six yards a touch en route to a 1,500-yard, 15-touchdowns season. The bruising back added another 30 catches for 232 yards and a touchdown. Hampton had 36 explosive runs and excels in the zone scheme where he can cut back at the lineman’s heels. Excellent feet and tough to arm tackle. An area for improvement? He had three fumbles last season.
  4. Georgia OG Tate Ratledge
    Ratledge was excellent in both phases last year and kept Carson Beck clean all season, not allowing a sack and very few pressures. He’s a mauler who finishes off blocks in the run game.
  5. Kansas QB Jalon Daniels
    Daniels has been a part of KU’s climb to respectability under coach Lance Leipold. A breakout season in 2022 earned him preseason all-conference honors, but most of 2023 was ruined by a back injury. The dual-threat playmaker rebuffed portal poachers and is ready to remind everybody he’s among the best in the business.
  6. Oregon WR Tez Johnson
    Washington had a big season in Eugene, racking up 86 catches for almost 1,200 yards and 10 touchdowns. The explosive slot is an excellent route runner and a problem with the ball in his hand after the catch. He had 28 explosive catches last season.
  7. UCF QB KJ Jefferson
    I’m still high on Jefferson. He’s a nightmare to tackle as a runner and is an underrated passer, steadily improving his passing mechanics over the last few years. When given time, he throws dots. Jefferson had very little time to throw last year (Arkansas gave up 42 sacks) and his numbers were down, but he’s still a player. UCF and coach Gus Malzahn will be a great fit for Jefferson.
  8. Iowa TE Luke Lachey
    Lachey is one of the better in-line tight ends in the game, we just haven’t seen much of it as he’s coming off a shortened season where an injury held him to three contests. Lachey is a plus-blocker who can hold his own in the zone and gap schemes and is a large target to work the middle of the field in the passing game. Tight End U needs Lachey healthy. If he is, he will be a huge part of Iowa’s success.
  9. Louisville EDGE Tyler Baron
    A portal snag from Tennessee, Baron was one of the best “gets” of the offseason. He mostly played out of position at Tennessee as a 4i but should flourish on the edge opposite Ashton Gillette. Baron is extremely physical vs. the run and can win quickly with a twitchy first step.
  10. Oregon OT Josh Conerly Jr.
    Conerly, a former 5-star prospect, was excellent in his first season as a full-time starter, yielding one sack and 17 pressures playing the blindside and protecting Bo Nix. Conerly has excellent feet and does a nice job mixing up his hands when he punches. Despite lacking the ideal length for tackle, Conerly will have a shot at getting drafted high after the season and could be a candidate to kick inside to guard in the NFL.
  11. Minnesota RB Darius Taylor
    Taylor was one of the best backs in the country last year but missed six games due to injury and only got one carry in the opener. He still racked up 800 yards and five touchdowns and had four games where he rushed for over 100 yards. Not a burner but a patient and methodical back who will body-blow you and wait for his opportunity for an explosive run.
  12. Georgia EDGE Mykel Williams
    Georgia’s most gifted pass-rusher generated 27 pressures and 4.5 sacks last year. Don’t focus on the numbers, as UGA loves to rotate its defensive linemen and the former 5-star recruit has natural pass rush ability and some length off the edge. Williams hits tackles with an excellent long-arm and can win inside as a defensive tackle in some of UGA’s third-down packages, too.

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  1. Alabama S Malachi Moore
    A Tuscaloosa mainstay at this point, Moore is a leader and high-IQ player who’s mostly played nickel at Alabama but is expected to move to strong safety this season. That’s a nice fit for him. He’s excellent in run support and routinely blows up blockers on bubble screens. Moore is solid in coverage as well and does a nice job of playing the ball in the air on contested catches.
  2. Georgia TE/WR Dillon Bell
    Bell is a swiss-army knife of a player and exactly what the NFL is looking for as a hybrid tight end. Bell threw for a touchdown pass, rushed for 157 yards and two touchdowns, and caught 29 passes for 355 and two touchdowns. Bell can beat you a ton of different ways from the screen game to the short to intermediate zones.
  3. Texas RB CJ Baxter
    The No. 1 RB signee in 2023’s class, Baxter began last as the starting running back but kept getting dinged up … and then Jonathon Brooks went off. After Brooks was lost for the season against TCU, Baxter stepped back in and was a big factor in Texas’s two-headed monster of a rushing attack (Jaydon Blue being the other) en route to a Playoff appearance. The former 5-star is a giant back with speed and power, with some slight shades of former Texas great Cedric Benson.
  4. Colorado EDGE BJ Green II
    The No. 7-ranked defensive lineman in 247Sports’ transfer portal rankings, Green played on the edge at Arizona State but built more like a hybrid defensive tackle at 6-1, 270 pounds. Green plays with a relentless motor and is twitchy with some natural pass-rush ability. Colorado’s defense needs him to be a force in 2024.
  5. Clemson DL T.J. Parker
    A top-50 recruit, Parker flashed on film as a freshman and delivered in the stat sheet, generating 5.5 sacks and 37 pressures. Parker wins with an explosive first step and has the power to work through tackles and finish at the quarterback. He’s solid against the run, too.
  6. Penn State EDGE Dani Dennis-Sutton
    A powerful edge rusher with a variety of moves and the versatility to play inside as well. Dennis-Sutton has a nice motor and works the offensive linemen’s edges well and can convert with power. Nice length and get-off; a nasty tandem lined up opposite Adbul Carter. I’m high on Penn State’s defensive front.
  7. Alabama OG Jaeden Roberts
    This guy is an amazing story. Roberts went from third string Alabama to one of the top three guards in the country in just half a season. Roberts is freaky strong and can manhandle defensive tackles. He got better as the year progressed and has the ability to be a special player with more experience and game reps.
  8. Ohio State CB Denzel Burke
    I’m not sure if Denzel Burke is a superstar, which is where he looked to be headed after his freshman campaign, but he put together a bounce-back junior season. He’s a nice piece on a really stingy Ohio State defense that plays well together as a unit. Burke had one interception and defended 10 passes with nine passes broken up for the Buckeyes. Can give up too much cushion at times and needs to be more of a playmaker on their backend. Better in zone coverage than man.
  9. Louisville EDGE Ashton Gillotte
    The twitchy Gillotte had an impressive season, leading the ACC with 11 sacks and adding 14.5 TFL’s, He also generated 65 total pressures and was a thorn in the side against every team he faced. A little undersized but a natural rusher. Louisville has a terrific pair of edges in Gillotte and Barron. paired with Tyler Baron is going to be a nightmare in the ACC.
  10. Tennessee DT Omarr Norman-Lott
    Norman-Lott does not get enough love. A transfer from Arizona State last offseason, Norman-Lott has serious power and the ability to cave the pocket. He’s a great mover who does a nice job reading where the slide is in pass protection to defeat the double team. Norman-Lott and James Pearce Jr. should be a headache for opposing offensive linemen in the SEC this year.
  11. Alabama LB Deontae Lawson
    Lawson is an excellent run-stuffing box ‘backer. He was dinged up by the middle of the season, which affected his ability to run full speed. He was still productive — 5.5 TFL, three sacks and four PBUs — but is in store for a national breakout this fall.
  12. Texas EDGE Trey Moore
    Moore was a man amongst boys at UTSA, setting the school record for sacks with 14 and earning AAC Defensive Player of the Year honors. His traits, which I think are rare, will be tested in the SEC. Moore has quick hands and is sudden off the edge. He is undersized but utilizes speed and spin moves as well as a nice inside counter to affect the quarterback. Will need to prove he can hold up vs. the run consistently or Texas could use him exclusively as a pass rush specialist. The Longhorns spent a few seasons without an elite pass-rusher but suddenly have a pretty nice room, which is now headlined by Moore.
  13. Florida QB Graham Mertz
    Yep. I’m a believer in Mertz. Don’t forget he profiled as an elite prospect out of high school. A change of scenery, from Madison to Gainesville, did him well in 2023. He was consistent, completing 73% of his passes for the season for 2,900 yards, and took care of the football, throwing just three picks. Florida has an unbelievably difficult schedule ahead and Mertz’s favorite target Ricky Pearsall is off to the NFL. Mertz can really silence the doubters if he delivers a good season in what will be choppy waters.

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  1. Arkansas EDGE Landon Jackson
    A ballyhooed high school prospect, Jackson benefited from a change of scenery, transferring from LSU to Arkansas a few seasons ago. His return for a final year was big for the Hogs. Jackson is extremely long at 6-7, but I think he has the versatility to move inside at the next level, where he could be an extremely disruptive pocket-crushing force. He’s still a little raw, but let’s see what pass-rushing moves he comes out of the offseason with.
  2. SMU EDGE Elijah Roberts
    Roberts is a productive, power-rushing edge who can get things done inside, too. Roberts 10 sacks and generated 73 pressures last year in the AAC. Has nice power and uses his hands well to work punchers hands off him. Will see a major uptick in talent in ACC as SMU hops up a level.
  3. UNLV WR Ricky White
    White dominated the Mountain West, catching 88 balls for almost 1,500 yards and eight touchdowns. Fifty-four of those were for a first down and he had 32 explosive catches.
  4. Notre Dame EDGE R.J Oben
    Oben arrives from Duke this offseason. He’s got a lot of experience with him and profiles as a very useful, high-motor player for Notre Dame. Oben is an active rusher with a nice outside swat and spin move and some really nice counters as a rusher. Oben does not play with much power but pursues the ball on every snap.
  5. UCLA WR J. Michael Sturdivant
    A fluid playmaker and route runner who’s got game breaking speed to boot. Sturdivant is sudden and shity and can stop and start and locate the ball. Sturdivant has excellent hands and always works back to the ball when he can. UCLA needs to feed the young man (only 36 receptions a season ago).
  6. Ohio State OC Seth McLaughlin
    McLaughlin was an excellent blocker over the last few seasons at Alabama but decided a change of scenery was best for him after having some snapping issues with Jalen Milroe. McLaughlin plays with a high IQ and does a nice job sorting through the protections to get everyone on the same page. Excellent in both run and pass protection.
  7. Oklahoma State EDGE Collin Oliver
    Oliver hasn’t put up the numbers like he did as a freshman all-american but is still a productive and disruptive force off the edge. His six sacks in 2023 don’t tell the whole story as he generated 40 pressures. Oliver is undersized but is sudden and can beat you with speed from the edge.
  8. Cal RB Jaydn Ott
    Ott is an explosive runner who led the Pac-12 last year with 1,315 yards and 12 touchdowns on the ground and chipped in 30 receptions for 215 yards and 2 touchdowns in the air. Ott has great vision and can excel both inside the box and has the ability to bounce it out and the speed to take it to the house. A lot of ACC fans will be frustrated watching their defenses try to corral him this fall.
  9. Notre Dame DT Howard Cross III
    Cross showed his stuff in helping Notre Dame close out a tight road win at Duke last season. Clutch player who’s disruptive along the interior. Cross notched 64 tackles last year, including six TFLs and 45 generated pressure. He excels in movement and has a great get-off and understanding of offensive line blocking schemes.

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  1. Colorado State WR Tory Horton
    Horton has great length, speed, production and excels as a punt returner, too. Horton caught 98 balls for over 1,100 yards and had eight touchdowns for the season. Horton had 18 explosive catches for the year but is almost exclusively used in the short-to-intermediate quick game, where he moves the chains as well as anyone. Don’t see the game-breaking speed here but he’s a nice security blanket.
  2. Iowa State RB Abu Sama III
    Another star back for the Cyclones. Sama made the 247Sports True Freshman All-American Team after finishing the season on a heater including 276 yards in his first career start against Kansas State — a fun, memorable game in the snow. Sama averaged 7.3 yards a carry and scored six touchdowns on the ground for the Cyclones. Sama is also a receiving threat and showed some willingness to be a solid blocker in pass protection.
  3. Miami OT Francis Mauigoa
    It’s always tough to throw a true freshman tackle out to the wolves, but the benefits and reps will pay off this season. Mauigoa has some technical issues to clean up but showed he can hold up as a right tackle. He’s a powerful blocker when he gets his paws on you and a bright future in Year 2. The No. 6-ranked recruit in the 2023 class is easily on his way to meeting the hype.
  4. Notre Dame QB Riley Leonard
    Leonard is a dual-threat quarterback who’s better than you think (the three passing TDs in 2023 were a matter of injury and circumstance, not skill). He has a bigger spotlight on him after transferring from Duke to Notre Dame. Leonard was beat up for almost half of the season and was probably a better runner than passer when he played. He’s poised for a big season if he can stay healthy.
  5. West Virginia OT Wyatt Milum
    Milum was a dependable blind side blocker for the Mountaineers in 2023, yielding nine pressures and zero sacks. He’s a solid run blocker as well. Another good season could be his last in Morgantown.
03 May

Ex-Ole Miss coach won two national titles as player under ‘Bear’ Bryant at Alabama

Former Alabama quarterback and longtime college football coach Steve Sloan has died. Sloan, who won two national championships while playing under legendary coach Paul “Bear” Bryant, was 79.

Sloan began his Alabama career as a backup to Joe Namath, though he earned some playing time in 1964 as Namath dealt with a nagging knee injury. The Crimson Tide won the SEC title and were named consensus national champions while logging a 10-1 record. Sloan returned as the starter in 1965 and led Alabama to a second straight SEC title and national championship.

After a short stint in the NFL with the Atlanta Falcons, Sloan embarked on his coaching career as an assistant with Alabama in 1968. In 1971, he earned his first full-time opportunity as the offensive coordinator at Florida State and spent one season with the Seminoles before moving on to the same position at Georgia Tech.

Sloan was hired as Vanderbilt’s head coach in 1973 and amassed a 12-9-2 record, including an appearance in the 1974 Peach Bowl, in two seasons with the Commodores. He left for Texas Tech in 1975 and in 1976 led the Red Raiders to a Southwest Conference title and a ranking of No. 13 in that year’s final AP poll.

He was hired by Ole Miss in 1978, spending five years with the Rebels and compiling a 20-34-1 record. His best season with the program came in 1978 when Ole Miss went 5-6. Sloan closed out his career with a four-year head coaching stint at Duke from 1983-86. From 1987-2006, Sloan served as athletic director at Alabama, Central Florida and UT-Chattanooga.

19 Apr

2024 NBA Play-In Tournament picks, April 19 bets by proven model

The Sacramento Kings and the New Orleans Pelicans meet in the final game of the Western Conference 2024 NBA Play-In Tournament on Friday. The winner of this matchup locks down the eighth seed and plays the Oklahoma City Thunder in the first round. The Kings beat the Golden State Warriors 118-94 in the 9 vs. 10 contest on Tuesday. Meanwhile, New Orleans fell to the Los Angeles Lakers in the 7 vs. 8 battle. The Lakers topped New Orleans 110-106. Zion Williamson (hamstring) is out for the Pelicans.

Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans. The Kings are 1.5-point favorites in the latest Kings vs. Pelicans odds. The over/under for total points is 210. Before making any Kings vs. Pelicans picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 88-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,600. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Kings vs. Pelicans and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Kings vs. Pelicans:

Kings vs. Pelicans spread: Sacramento -1.5
Kings vs. Pelicans over/under: 210 points
Kings vs. Pelicans money line: Sacramento -122, New Orleans +103
SAC: The Kings are 43-40 against the spread this season.
NO: The Pelicans are 44-38-1 against the spread this season.
Kings vs. Pelicans picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Kings can cover
Guard De’Aaron Fox continues to be a lightning-quick scorer. Fox owns a quick first step to blow by defenders offensively while also being active in passing lanes. The Kentucky product thrives as the floor general for the Kings, averaging 26.6 points, 4.6 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game. In the win over the Warriors, Fox had 24 points, six assists and two steals.

Forward Domantas Sabonis has the skills to be an effective rebounder, scorer and facilitator. Sabonis does a great job creating space in the lane and scans the floor well to find the open man. He led the NBA in rebounds (13.7), is sixth in assists (8.2) with 19.4 points per contest. In his last outing, Sabonis notched 16 points, 12 boards and seven assists. See which team to pick here.

Why the Pelicans can cover
Forward Brandon Ingram is an effective three-level scorer. Ingram can score off the dribble but also gets into the lane with regularity. The Duke product averages 20.8 points, 5.1 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game. On March 16 against the Portland Trail Blazers, Ingram finished with 22 points, seven boards and four blocks.

Guard Trey Murphy III is a two-way force in the frontcourt. Murphy III has a pure perimeter jumper to be an asset from 3-point land. The Virginia product then uses his length to disrupt others defensively. He averages 14.8 points, 4.9 rebounds and shoots 38% from beyond the arc. In the April 12 game versus Golden State, Murphy III had 24 points and eight boards. See which team to pick here.

How to make Kings vs. Pelicans picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 216 points. The model also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can only see the model’s pick and analysis at SportsLine.

So who Kings vs. Pelicans, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that’s 88-58 on top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.

19 Apr

Why Luka Doncic is at risk of becoming James Harden 2.0 and how Mavericks superstar can set himself apart

There are several critical things that will hinge on the first-round playoff series that kicks off Saturday between the Dallas Mavericks and Los Angeles Clippers.

For starters, there’s a clear path to the Western Conference Finals on a side of the bracket missing the Denver Nuggets. There’s a red-hot Mavs team trying to keep its stellar form alive now that we’ve arrived at playoff basketball. There’s what becomes of Paul George if the Clippers crash out in the first round, and what to make of the star-studded tandem in Dallas if it’s the Mavs who get eliminated early.

But atop the list of what could be at stake is a possibility sometimes whispered about in the NBA and, barring a change, creeping closer to reality: That Luka Doncic is actually James Harden 2.0. — a superb scorer whose game doesn’t easily translate to success in the playoffs.

Yes, at this moment in time, Doncic is one of the great basketball players on earth, and all the things that particular truth can foretell — championships, perhaps several, worthy accolades like MVPs, periods of domination, HOF speeches, and so on — can feel inevitable.

Doncic, after all, is so astoundingly great that Stan Van Gundy told the Dan Le Batard show last week Doncic is “the best offensive player now that I have ever seen.”

That’s high praise indeed, and well-earned, if a bit much. Doncic just had 33.9/9.2/9.8 season. He’s a human highlight reel whose virtuoso offensive performances are difficult to overstate. I just voted him at third on my official NBA MVP ballot, an excruciating decision given the seasons Nikola Jokic and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander also have had.

And now, just in time for the playoffs, Doncic has a team that seems ready to rise to his level of expectations.

Since the All-Star Break, the Mavericks have the seventh-best offensive rating in the league. No surprise there — Doncic and Kyrie Irving are an outstanding offensive duo. But this next part is downright shocking: Since March 7, when Daniel Gafford, who was acquired at the trade deadline, was inserted into Dallas’ starting lineup, they have the No. 1 defense in the league.

A team that was awful defensively for much of the season – and that are still just 18th in defensive rating over the course of the entire season — have been the league’s best over the past 20 games. They also have the second-best record over that stretch, behind only the Boston Celtics.

But there is that worry, lurking, talked about in some NBA corners by Luka fans and Luka doubters, who have concerns.

Also worth noting: All-time greats who have been severely and savagely doubted have in the past flipped those narratives of doubt into reams of glowing press and starry-eyed believers. Think Steph Curry. Think, just a year ago, Nikola Jokic.

Yet Doncic’s greatness carries with it a distinct concern.

His ball-dominant approach, and the eye-popping regular-season results that can follow, have been seen before — sometimes with brutal postseason returns. The idea of an MVP-level player, playing historically excellent offensive basketball, for a team that on paper looks like a true contender, that suddenly gets exposed in the playoffs — well, there’s a precedent for that.

And his name is James Harden.

As in the guy who will just so happen to be a walking reminder throughout this Mavs-Clippers series of how fleeting greatness can be, and the windows it that can open and close as a result, in the NBA.

Harden, after all, has won an MVP and three scoring titles, and is a six-time All NBA First Team player. He, too, was once rightly regarded as one of the great basketball talents to grace any court at any time in history. Much of Harden’s time atop the NBA mountain came in Houston where, like Doncic so far in Dallas, The Beard made only one Conference Finals — and never got further.

Let’s be blunt: Harden’s regular-season greatness has been exceeded only by his postseason letdowns.

There’s also, back in 2019, an eerie echo of the Van Gundy quote on Doncic from last week. This one came from Houston’s then-General Manager, Daryl Morey, offered up on a podcast, when he also argued Harden was historically the No. 1 offensive player ever — this time in direct contrast to Michael Jordan — despite having not then (or since) won a title.

“It’s just factual,” Morey said in 2019, “that James Harden is a better scorer than Michael Jordan. You give James Harden the ball and before you’re giving up the ball how many points do you generate, which is how you should measure offense, James Harden is by far No. 1 in NBA history.”

Harden and Luka share more than hyperbolic supporters, high-powered offenses and (to date) limited postseason successes. They’re also hyper ball-dominant players, and there are corners of the NBA where you can find executives and scouts who worry that Docic’s greatness, which will ultimately be judged by playoff success and championships, could go the way that Haden’s has gone.

As in Luka Doncic becoming a new version of James Harden.

“I agree,” one rival NBA executive told CBS Sports. “When you get a guy like Luka, you can win a lot of regular-season games and some playoff games. But there’s a ceiling in terms of outcomes.”

The reasons for that, several executives said, are numerous. Here’s a compilation of their concerns about players, like and including Doncic, who dominate the ball at historical levels:

The defensive liability that often accompanies their offensive excellence, and certainly accompanies Luka’s.
The wear and tear of high-usage rate players that can impact performance in the postseason, when exhaustion and better defenses and schemes team up.
The way players like Doncic or Harden drive offensive outcomes all year as individuals — while dominating the ball — thus undercutting teammates’ abilities to be ready, best-situated or properly muscle-memoried to contribute in key playoff moments.
The way playoff basketball is much more geared to stopping individual excellence than team excellence.
“The problem with the playoffs for Luka or James is better teams and better coaches,” one scout said. “In the regular season, teams play most actions in flow — not set plays. It’s more random. There’s just too many games, one after the other. But in the playoffs there’s more time for a film-based approach, more specific actions, and more focus stopping guys like Luka, and more practice time to implement it. You can reduce his successful outcomes if not his stats.”

History backs this up.

This season, Luka Doncic’s usage rate was 35.98 percent, the 20th-highest mark in a season in NBA history.

No player in the league’s history with a higher single-season usage rate has ever made an NBA Finals, let alone won one. Of the 19 times players had the ball in their hands more often than Doncic did this season, only three have even made a Conference Finals — Harden in 2017-18, Kobe Bryant in 2005-06, and Doncic himself in 2021-22, his only time past the first round.

Michael Jordan has two of the highest-usage-rate single seasons in NBA history. He missed the playoffs in one of them and was eliminated in the first round in the other. In seasons with a top-20 all-time usage rate, Giannis, Iverson, and Dwyane Wade also lost in the first round of the playoffs.

Including this year, Doncic has four of the highest usage-rate seasons ever, all to no avail. Harden has three of them. He, too, has never won a championship, and never made a Finals since leaving Oklahoma City to become the focal point in Houston and, to lesser degrees, later in Brooklyn and Philly before heading to LA.

Three players have won an MVP while having a top-20 all-time usage rate season — Giannis, Harden and Embiid. Not one of them got out of the second round of the playoffs those seasons.

All of which is history’s way of telling us that, while greatness is a critical component of winning a championship, too-much ball dominance can undercut even the most astounding of historical seasons.

Luka Doncic is extraordinary. No doubt.

But so was Harden before him. And if Luka & Co. can’t get past Harden and the Clippers starting Saturday, one of the game’s brightest lights could end up being something that feels like a letdown: A what-could-have-been all-time great career.

There’s time for all this to change. A year ago, criticisms and doubts were bubbling up around Nikola Jokic. One magical run silenced them all.

Luka Doncic is amazing, and he may well do the same this season. But if he doesn’t — especially if it’s another early payoff exist — it might be time to start considering the idea of Dallas’ James Harden 2.0.

19 Apr

Bulls guard (ankle) says he expects to play vs. Heat on Friday

Alex Caruso expects to be in the lineup for the Chicago Bulls when they face the Miami Heat with a playoff spot on the line on Friday, he said at shootaround on Friday, per ESPN’s Jamal Collier. Caruso sprained his left ankle in Chicago’s first play-in game on Wednesday against the Atlanta Hawks, but ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski reported Thursday that, after evaluation, the swelling in the ankle had lessened.

Caruso is officially listed as questionable, but said Friday he feels ready to play and has a good recovery routine, as he dealt with ankle issues throughout the regular season’s stretch run, per the Chicago Tribune’s Julia Poe.

The injury took place in the second quarter of the Bulls’ 131-116 win, and it was a bizarre one: With the Hawks in transition, Andre Drummond, Caruso’s teammate, plowed right through Caruso as he tried to get back on defense. Drummond, a 6-foot-11 center listed at 279 pounds, knocked the 6-foot-5, 186-pound guard to the floor, where he winced in pain for a moment. After trying to walk it off, Caruso limped over to Chicago’s bench and then the locker room. While he attempted to play in the second half, he could only manage little over two minutes before exiting the game again.

Alex Caruso suffered an apparent injury after this collision with Andre Drummond.

He has yet to return to the game. pic.twitter.com/5Uc4c0WiKk

— ESPN (@espn) April 18, 2024
After the game, Caruso said it was the same foot he had been having issues with toward the end of the regular season. He missed the Bulls’ games on April 7 against the Orlando Magic and April 12 against the Washington Wizards with what the team termed a left ankle contusion.

“[Drummond] caught me on my right foot that kinda gave out [and] my left one tried to catch me,” Caruso said. “Just kind of tweaked my ankle a little bit — that same one I was dealing with for the last couple weeks of the season that we were managing and figuring out.”

Chicago persevered without Caruso in the second half against a Hawks team that didn’t put up too much of a fight, but its second win-or-go-home game will be a different challenge. Even though Miami will be without Jimmy Butler, who sprained the MCL in his right knee on Wednesday, the Bulls would like to have as many weapons as possible when they try to keep their season alive on the road.

The defensive impact Caruso makes can’t be overstated. He’s Chicago’s best perimeter defender and, when needed, can hold his own against bigger opponents, too. When he was on the floor during the regular season, the Bulls allowed seven fewer points per 100 possessions than when he sat, and he averaged a career-high 10.1 points on just over 40% shooting from 3-point range. There isn’t someone who can immediately step in and fill his shoes, so Chicago has to be relieved that he’s feeling healthy enough to lace ’em up.

19 Apr

Clippers president says star has ‘very, very stubborn inflammation’ in knee

Los Angeles Clippers superstar Kawhi Leonard hasn’t taken any contact in practice, but could potentially play in Game 1 of their first-round series against the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday if the swelling in his right knee subsides, team president Lawrence Frank told reporters.

“Kawhi’s been dealing with inflammation for almost three weeks in his right knee; he’s doing everything, our medical staff is doing everything to get the inflammation down so he can play,” Frank said Thursday, via ClutchPoints’ Tomer Azarly. “Progress has been made, but more progress needs — the inflammation needs to continue to reduce so he can do functional basketball movements. We’re hopeful it’s going to get there.”

Frank said that Leonard, who hasn’t played since March 31, has done “the mental preparation part of it, the film study, the personnel review” at practice. When it comes to advancing to full-contact work, he said, the team is taking it day by day.

“Inflammation is unpredictable,” Frank said. “We’d love to have a crystal ball and Kawhi would love to have a crystal ball and know exactly on this day, but you just control what you can control. And hopefully the inflammation reduces in a short amount of time and he’s back on the court. That’s the goal.”

Lawrence Frank’s opening statement on Kawhi Leonard:

“Kawhi’s been dealing with inflammation for almost 3 weeks in his right knee. He’s doing everything, our medical staff is doing everything to get the inflammation down so he can play. Progress has been made, but more progress,… pic.twitter.com/mc8JZTfZBN

— Tomer Azarly (@TomerAzarly) April 18, 2024
Leonard is dealing with “some very, very stubborn inflammation,” Frank said, via The Athletic’s Law Murray, but “everything structurally is in a really, really good place.” He said “there’s a chance” that Leonard could be ready to go on Sunday and “we’ve seen some progress here recently,” so “we’ll be hopeful, but, just to get ahead of it, he’ll be questionable for Game 1.”

Before Frank’s press conference, The Athletic’s Shams Charania reported on Stadium (22:26 here) that there is “cautious optimism” that Leonard could return in Game 1, as he “received an injection in his knee to alleviate inflammation” and “after a period of rest, he’s been ramping up.” Charania reported Leonard has been doing “some pretty intense” on-court workouts “in the last week or so.”

Asked about the report, Frank said, “We don’t comment on any specific treatments, obviously.” He added that Leonard is “doing everything he can and we’re doing everything we can medically.”

Frank directly said that “there is no gamesmanship here.” He said the Clippers “want to be as transparent as possible, and also it’s OK to say what the truth is: It’s unpredictable. We’re hoping it’s trending in the right direction.”

Once the swelling is at “an acceptable level,” Frank said, then Leonard can “start with on-court work, and then you continue to build up on it and you get to a point where, first from Kawhi’s standpoint and then from a medical standpoint, we’re comfortable where he can play in a high-level playoff game.” He repeatedly said that there needs to be less swelling before Leonard can do “functional basketball movements” and take contact.

At the end of March, Leonard had played in 68 of Los Angeles’ 74 games. He averaged 23.7 points, 6.1 rebounds and 3.6 assists in 34.3 minutes per game in the regular season, with .525/.417/.885 shooting splits, and he’ll likely be named to an All-NBA team. The fourth-seeded Clippers could contend for a championship this season, based on how they played from mid-November to early February, provided that Leonard is available, but they could also fall in the first round to the Mavericks, who finished the regular season much stronger.

“This guy lives for these moments,” Frank said. “He played 68 games this year, he’s done a ton of heavy lifting and he prepares himself to be his best when his best is needed. So he’s going to do, like he has, everything in his power to get on the court.”

Frank also cautioned that, “obviously, if he’s not healthy to play at a certain moment, then he won’t be out there.”

Given that Leonard tore the ACL in his right knee in the 2021 playoffs, an injury that cost him the entirety of the following season, and then tore the meniscus in the same knee in last year’s playoffs, an issue with this specific knee is surely the last thing the Clippers wanted to be dealing with. This is where they are, though, and they must simply hope that Leonard can successfully ramp up, suit up and hold up.

“There’s no one who’s more frustrated than Kawhi, who desperately wants to be out there to play,” Frank said. “You just control what you can control.”

19 Apr

Top DraftKings, FanDuel daily Fantasy basketball picks on Friday, April 19 include Bam Adebayo

The Miami Heat and New Orleans Pelicans will be without their most impactful players for the most important games of their seasons. Jimmy Butler suffered a knee injury in Miami’s first play-in tournament game and Zion Williamson suffered a hamstring injury in New Orleans’ play-in contest. Their absences will have a huge impact on the NBA DFS player pool for Friday with the final two games of the 2024 NBA Play-In Tournament. The Heat host the Bulls, and the Pelicans host the Kings for the No. 8 spots in their respective conferences for the 2024 NBA Playoffs, so how should daily Fantasy basketball players form an NBA DFS strategy without those two superstars?

Williamson had 40 points and 11 rebounds before exiting with 3:13 left in the fourth quarter following the hamstring injury. Which Pelicans will pick up his production for NBA DFS picks? Brandon Ingram had just 11 points over 25 minutes in his second game back after missing 12 games with a knee injury on Tuesday, so can you expect a better performance from him for NBA DFS lineups? Before making your NBA DFS picks, be sure to check out the NBA DFS advice, player rankings, stacks, and top daily Fantasy basketball picks from SportsLine’s Jimmie Kaylor.

Kaylor is a DFS and betting expert for SportsLine, who won a DraftKings Millionaire Maker contest in 2022. He uses a combination of his background as a former college and professional athlete and his keen eye for statistical trends when making his picks and locking in his DFS lineups. Kaylor enters the 2024 calendar year with multiple five-figure tournament cashes on his DFS resume.

Kaylor’s approach allows him to find the best NBA DFS values and create optimal lineups that he only shares on SportsLine. They’re a must-see for any NBA DFS player.

Last Friday (when Kaylor last made picks), Kaylor highlighted Timberwolves center Naz Reid as one of his top picks in his NBA DFS player pool on both sites. The result: Reid had 19 points and three rebounds, two assists and a block, returning 27.75 points on DraftKings and 26.6 points on FanDuel as one of the better values in the NBA DFS player pool. Anybody who included him in their lineups was well on the way to a profitable day.

Kaylor has turned his attention to NBA action on Friday and locked in his top daily Fantasy basketball picks. You can only see them by heading to SportsLine.

Top NBA DFS picks for Friday, April 19
For Friday, one of Kaylor’s top NBA DFS picks is Heat center Bam Adebayo ($8,700 on DraftKings and $8.500 on FanDuel). Adebayo had 10 points, 12 rebounds and two blocks in Miami’s 105-104 loss to the 76ers on Wednesday. Now with Butler out, the Heat will need Adebayo to take on a larger scoring role, which he’s proven capable of doing. Adebayo had a tough matchup against Joel Embiid on Wednesday, and although the Bulls also have size in the middle with Nikola Vucevic and Andre Drummond, it won’t be as challenging as going up against Embiid while straining energy guarding him defensively.

Adebayo averaged 19.3 points and 10.4 rebounds this season as one of just 13 players in the NBA to average a double-double. Clint Capela had 22 points and 17 rebounds against the Bulls on Tuesday, and Adebayo can take advantage of similar matchups on Friday. Adebayo averaged 22.1 points, 11.3 rebounds and 4.8 assists over 21 games without Butler in the lineup this season.

Another part of Kaylor’s optimal NBA DFS strategy includes rostering Bulls forward DeMar DeRozan ($8,400 on DraftKings and $9,300 on FanDuel). DeRozan had 22 points, six rebounds and nine assists in the Bulls’ 131-116 win over the Hawks on Wednesday. DeRozan has been one of the best scorers in the NBA in April, averaging 30.7 points over six games, and Kaylor expects him to carry over that scoring output on Friday.

DeRozan is 7 of 12 on 3-pointers (58.3%) over his last three games, and Miami allowed 12 3-pointers to the 76ers on Wednesday. He’s put up at least 18 field goal attempts in 12 straight games as the focal point of the Chicago offense, and in a win-or-home contest, you can be sure he’ll play nearly every minute and be aggressive with his shot. The six-time All-Star is also averaging 6.9 assists over his last eight games. See Kaylor’s other NBA DFS picks right here.

How to set your NBA DFS lineups for Friday, April 19
Kaylor is also targeting a player who could go off for massive numbers on Friday because of a dream matchup. This pick could be the difference between winning your tournaments and cash games or going home with nothing. You can only see who it is here.

Who is DFS pro Jimmie Kaylor putting in his optimal NBA DFS lineups for Friday? Visit SportsLine now to see optimal NBA DFS picks, rankings, advice, and stacks, all from a professional DFS player who a DraftKings Millionaire Maker contest, and find out.

19 Apr

2024 NBA playoff picks, Game 1 best bets by top model

The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Orlando Magic in Game 1 of their first round matchup in the Eastern Conference playoffs on Saturday. The Magic earned the No. 5 seed in the Eastern Conference playoff bracket, but ended the regular season by dropping three of their last four games. They did beat the Milwaukee Bucks 113-88 in their regular season finale on Sunday. Meanwhile, Cleveland locked up the No. 4 seed in the East and won two of their last three games heading into the postseason. On April 12, the Cavs topped the Indiana Pacers 129-120.

Tipoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland. The Cavaliers are 4.5-point favorites in the latest Magic vs. Cavaliers odds from SportsLine consensus. The over/under for total points is 207.5. Before making any Cavaliers vs. Magic picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 88-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,600. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Magic vs. Cavs and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Cavs vs. Magic:

Magic vs. Cavaliers spread: Cleveland -4.5
Magic vs. Cavaliers over/under: 207.5 points
Magic vs. Cavaliers money line: Cleveland -192, Orlando +161
ORL: The Magic are 51-31 against the spread this season.
CLE: The Cavaliers are 39-43 against the spread this season.
Magic vs. Cavaliers picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Magic can cover
Forward Paolo Banchero is impactful in several ways for the Magic. Banchero is a smooth playmaker and high-end finisher around the rim. He has the ball handles to get past defenders consistently. The 2022 first-overall pick logs 22.6 points, 6.9 rebounds and 5.4 assists per game. He dropped 26 points, 11 boards and seven assists in his last outing.

Forward Franz Wagner brings another nice scoring threat to the frontcourt. Wagner owns the instincts to be disruptive defensively with the athleticism to finish around the rim with ease. The Michigan product averages 19.7 points, 5.3 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game. He had 25 points, five rebounds and three assists in his last outing. Wagner notched 20-plus points in five of his last six games. See which team to pick here.

Why the Cavaliers can cover
Guard Donovan Mitchell is the Cavs’ best player and after missing some time late in the season, he’s declared himself 100% health. The 27-year-old slashes to the rim and can rise over defenders with no problem. He averaged 26.6 points, 5.1 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game. On April 12 against the Indiana Pacers, Mitchell finished with 33 points, four boards and five assists.

Center Jarrett Allen provides the Cavaliers with an active presence in the lane. Allen uses his length to be disruptive as a defender but also piles up rebounds. The Texas product can operate in the low post and takes high-percentage looks. Allen averaged 16.5 points, 10.5 rebounds, and shoots 63.4% from the field. On April 12 versus the Pacers, he had 29 points and 13 boards. See which team to pick here.

How to make Magic vs. Cavaliers picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 216 points. The model also says one side hits in 70% of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick and analysis at SportsLine.

So who Magic vs. Cavaliers, and which side hits in 70% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Cavs vs. Magic spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has returned more than $2,600 on its NBA picks this season, and find out.